Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.005312 0.005885 0.006505 0.007230 0.008055 0.008968 0.010060
2025-07-06 0.004296 0.005060 0.005953 0.007083 0.008484 0.010180 0.012413
2025-07-13 0.003775 0.004629 0.005677 0.007076 0.008917 0.011293 0.014650
2025-07-20 0.003475 0.004403 0.005589 0.007244 0.009535 0.012661 0.017363
2025-07-27 0.003160 0.004109 0.005364 0.007181 0.009803 0.013552 0.019508
2025-08-03 0.002925 0.003891 0.005208 0.007176 0.010130 0.014539 0.021910
2025-08-10 0.002704 0.003669 0.005018 0.007094 0.010317 0.015318 0.024079
2025-08-17 0.002551 0.003528 0.004925 0.007138 0.010687 0.016411 0.026919
2025-08-24 0.002384 0.003351 0.004764 0.007055 0.010839 0.017156 0.029256
2025-08-31 0.002204 0.003140 0.004533 0.006839 0.010744 0.017459 0.030813
2025-09-07 0.002090 0.003022 0.004433 0.006821 0.010974 0.018350 0.033634
2025-09-14 0.002041 0.002997 0.004475 0.007038 0.011630 0.020087 0.038454
2025-09-21 0.001914 0.002847 0.004313 0.006907 0.011675 0.020728 0.041201
2025-09-28 0.001795 0.002703 0.004152 0.006769 0.011693 0.021333 0.044024
2025-10-05 0.001713 0.002612 0.004072 0.006762 0.011958 0.022462 0.048295
2025-10-12 0.001667 0.002578 0.004084 0.006921 0.012559 0.024380 0.054930
2025-10-19 0.001588 0.002482 0.003983 0.006861 0.012714 0.025351 0.059380
2025-10-26 0.001524 0.002409 0.003915 0.006857 0.012981 0.026610 0.064922
2025-11-02 0.001454 0.002321 0.003815 0.006780 0.013082 0.027496 0.069632
2025-11-09 0.001407 0.002269 0.003776 0.006821 0.013444 0.029062 0.076791
2025-11-16 0.001346 0.002190 0.003683 0.006743 0.013531 0.029960 0.082136
2025-11-23 0.001273 0.002084 0.003533 0.006538 0.013307 0.030034 0.084817
2025-11-30 0.001228 0.002029 0.003476 0.006521 0.013518 0.031282 0.091878